{"id":96,"date":"2006-02-16T08:42:32","date_gmt":"2006-02-16T16:42:32","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.tdsgame.org\/blog\/?p=96"},"modified":"2006-02-19T03:08:10","modified_gmt":"2006-02-19T11:08:10","slug":"%e9%81%8a%e6%88%b2-%e5%86%b7%e6%88%b0%e7%86%b1%e9%ac%a5%ef%bc%9a%e7%be%8e%e8%98%87%e5%bc%b7%e6%ac%8a%e7%88%ad%e9%9c%b8%e5%8f%b2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.tdsgame.org\/blog\/?p=96","title":{"rendered":"[\u904a\u6232] \u51b7\u6230\u71b1\u9b25\uff1a\u7f8e\u8607\u5f37\u6b0a\u722d\u9738\u53f2"},"content":{"rendered":"<p align=\"left\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.boardgamegeek.com\/fullimage\/99683\"><img decoding=\"async\" id=\"image99\" title=\"Twilight Struggle\" alt=\"Twilight Struggle\" src=\"https:\/\/www.tdsgame.org\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2006\/02\/pic99683_t.jpg\" align=\"left\" \/><\/a>&#8220;While we believe not only in the force of arms but in the\u00a0force of right and reason, we have learned that reason does\u00a0not always appeal to unreasonable men&#8230;&#8230;there are others\u00a0who cannot bear the burden of a long twilight\u00a0struggle.&#8221;\u00a0<\/p>\n<p align=\"left\">\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\uff5e John F. Kennedy, 1961<\/p>\n<p align=\"left\">1945\u5e74\uff0c\u6158\u70c8\u7684\u4e8c\u6b21\u5927\u6230\u5283\u4e0b\u4f11\u6b62\u7b26\uff0c\u7559\u4e0b\u4e00\u7247\u72fc\u7c4d\u7834\u6557\u7684\u4e16\u754c\u3002\u5168\u7403\u4eba\u985e\u7d42\u65bc\u80fd\u5920\u8d70\u51fa\u6230\u4e82\u7684\u9ed1\u6697\uff0c\u91cd\u5efa\u5bb6\u5712\uff0c\u4eab\u53d7\u548c\u5e73\u8207\u5e78\u798f\u4e86&#8230;\u5594\u4e0d\uff0c\u7b49\u7b49\uff0c\u4eba\u985e\u5728\u8d70\u5411\u5149\u660e\u4e4b\u524d\uff0c\u9084\u8981\u7d93\u904e\u9ece\u660e\u524d\u5915\u4e00\u6bb5\u6668\u665a\u672a\u660e\u7684\u6642\u6bb5\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u7576\u6642\u4eba\u5011\u6c92\u60f3\u5230\uff0c\u9019\u500b\u300c\u9ece\u660e\u7834\u66c9\u6642\u5206\u300d\u7adf\u50f5\u6301\u4e86\u56db\u5341\u9918\u5e74\uff0c\u6210\u70ba\u300c\u6f2b\u9577\u800c\u75db\u82e6\u7684\u6399\u624e\u300d\u3002<!--more--><\/p>\n<p align=\"left\">\u300c\u51b7\u6230\u71b1\u9b25\u300d\uff08Twilight Struggle\uff09\u662f\u4ee5\u51b7\u6230\u6642\u671f\u7f8e\u8607\u5169\u5927\u5f37\u6b0a\u722d\u9738\u70ba\u4e3b\u984c\u7684\u684c\u4e0a\u904a\u6232\u3002\u904e\u53bb\u4ee5\u51b7\u6230\u70ba\u4e3b\u984c\u7684\u904a\u6232\u4e0d\u5c11\uff0c\u800c\u9019\u904a\u6232\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u7279\u8272\u662f\u4ee5\u76ee\u524d\u9817\u71b1\u9580\u7684\u300c\u7d19\u724c\u9a45\u52d5\u300d\uff08card-driven\uff09\u4f5c\u70ba\u57fa\u672c\u6a5f\u5236\u3002\u60f3\u7576\u7136\u723e\uff0c\u9019\u904a\u6232\u4e3b\u8981\u662f\u8a2d\u8a08\u7d66\u5169\u4eba\u73a9\uff0c\u4e00\u4eba\u626e\u6f14\u7f8e\u570b\uff0c\u53e6\u4e00\u4eba\u662f\u8607\u806f\uff0c\u96d9\u65b9\u5fc5\u9808\u5728\u4e16\u754c\u5404\u5730\u722d\u53d6\u4e3b\u5c0e\u6216\u63a7\u5236\u6b0a\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u96d9\u65b9\u8868\u9762\u4e0a\u4e26\u672a\u771f\u6b63\u5927\u6253\u51fa\u624b\uff0c\u90fd\u662f\u4f9d\u9760\u5340\u57df\u6230\u722d\u3001\u5916\u4ea4\u7c60\u7d61\u3001\u653f\u8b8a\u548c\u8ecd\u5099\u7af6\u8cfd\u7b49\u624b\u6bb5\u4e92\u76f8\u8f03\u52c1\u3002\u9664\u6b64\u4e4b\u5916\uff0c\u96d9\u65b9\u9084\u8981\u9032\u884c\u592a\u7a7a\u7af6\u8cfd\uff0c\u540c\u6642\u8981\u907f\u514d\u767c\u751f\u6bc0\u6ec5\u5168\u4eba\u985e\u7684\u6838\u5b50\u5927\u6230\u3002<\/p>\n<p align=\"left\">\u4f7f\u7528\u300c\u7d19\u724c\u9a45\u52d5\u7cfb\u7d71\u300d\u6700\u8457\u540d\u7684\u904a\u6232\u5c31\u662f\u4ee5\u4e00\u6b21\u5927\u6230\u70ba\u80cc\u666f\u7684\u300c\u5149\u69ae\u4e4b\u8def\u300d\uff08Paths of Glory\uff09\uff0c\u5b83\u5c07\u4e00\u6230\u6b77\u53f2\u4e8b\u4ef6\u90fd\u5316\u70ba\u7d19\u724c\u8868\u793a\u3002\u985e\u4f3c\u5730\uff0c\u300c\u51b7\u6230\u71b1\u9b25\u300d\u5c07\u51b7\u6230\u6642\u671f\u767c\u751f\u7684\u5404\u9805\u5927\u4e8b\uff0c\u90fd\u5316\u70ba\u4e00\u767e\u591a\u5f35\u4e8b\u4ef6\u724c\uff0c\u5f9e\u97d3\u6230\u3001\u8d8a\u6230\u3001\u8a2d\u7acb\u5317\u5927\u897f\u6d0b\u516c\u7d04\u7d44\u7e54\uff08NATO\uff09\u8207\u83ef\u6c99\u516c\u7d04\u7d44\u7e54\uff0c\u4e43\u81f3\u53e4\u5df4\u5371\u6a5f\u3001\u7f8e\u65e5\u5354\u9632\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u7f8e\u570b\u901a\u904e\u53f0\u7063\u95dc\u4fc2\u6cd5\uff0c\u90fd\u53ef\u80fd\u5728\u904a\u6232\u4e2d\u767c\u751f\u3002\u904a\u6232\u6700\u591a\u6253\u5341\u56de\u5408\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u5c07\u51b7\u6230\u5206\u70ba\u521d\u671f\u3001\u4e2d\u671f\u548c\u665a\u671f\u4e09\u500b\u6642\u6bb5\uff0c\u6bcf\u500b\u6642\u6bb5\u6703\u52a0\u5165\u4e0d\u540c\u4e8b\u4ef6\u724c\u3002\u63db\u8a00\u4e4b\uff0c\u904a\u6232\u4e8b\u4ef6\u6703\u5927\u81f4\u4f9d\u7167\u6b77\u53f2\u65b9\u5411\uff0c\u665a\u671f\u7684\u4e8b\u4ef6\u4e0d\u6703\u4e00\u958b\u5834\u5c31\u767c\u751f\uff0c\u8607\u806f\u4e0d\u53ef\u80fd\u99ac\u4e0a\u5c31\u6539\u9769\u958b\u653e\u3002\u904a\u6232\u7372\u52dd\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\u6709\u5169\u7a2e\uff0c\u4e00\u7a2e\u662f\u5341\u56de\u5408\u5f8c\u770b\u6700\u5f8c\u5206\u6578\u504f\u5411\u54ea\u4e00\u65b9\uff1b\u7b2c\u4e8c\u7a2e\u662f\u300c\u7acb\u5373\u7372\u52dd\u300d\uff0c\u9019\u53c8\u5305\u542b\u4e09\u7a2e\u53ef\u80fd\u9014\u5f91\uff1a\uff08\u4e00\uff09\u904a\u6232\u7d50\u675f\u524d\uff0c\u67d0\u4e00\u65b9\u7684\u5206\u6578\u5df2\u7d93\u9060\u9060\u8d85\u904e\u5c0d\u65b9\uff0820\u5206\uff09\uff0c\u8868\u793a\u5168\u4e16\u754c\u5df2\u7d93\u5e7e\u4e4e\u5b8c\u5168\u50be\u5411\u8a72\u9663\u71df\u3002\uff08\u4e8c\uff09\u67d0\u9663\u71df\u5b8c\u5168\u63a7\u5236\u6b50\u6d32\uff0c\u9019\u4ee3\u8868\u63a7\u5236\u4e86\u4e16\u754c\u7684\u6838\u5fc3\u3002\uff08\u4e09\uff09\u82e5\u88ab\u8feb\u4f7f\u7528\u6838\u5f48\uff0c\u5247\u5c0d\u65b9\u7acb\u5373\u7372\u52dd\u3002\u63db\u53e5\u8a71\u8aaa\uff0c\u6838\u5f48\u9019\u7a2e\u6771\u897f\u53ea\u80fd\u5687\u552c\u4eba\uff0c\u4e0d\u80fd\u771f\u7684\u7528\uff0c\u53ea\u8981\u4e00\u4f7f\u7528\u5c31\u662f\u4e16\u754c\u6bc0\u6ec5\uff1ayou are a dead loser, game over\u3002<\/p>\n<p align=\"left\">\u6574\u500b\u904a\u6232\u7684\u7248\u5716\u5c31\u662f\u4e16\u754c\u5730\u5716\uff08\u4e0d\u7136\u4f60\u89ba\u5f97\u9084\u6703\u6709\u54ea\u88e1\uff09\uff0c\u9664\u4e86\u5169\u5927\u5f37\u6b0a\u4e2d\u5fc3\u4e4b\u5916\uff0c\u5206\u6210\u516d\u500b\u5340\u57df\uff1a\u6b50\u6d32\uff08\u53c8\u5206\u897f\u6b50\u548c\u6771\u6b50\u5b50\u5340\u57df\uff09\u3001\u4e2d\u6771\u3001\u4e2d\u7f8e\u6d32\u3001\u5357\u7f8e\u6d32\u3001\u975e\u6d32\u548c\u4e9e\u6d32\uff08\u5305\u548c\u6771\u5357\u4e9e\u5b50\u5340\u57df\uff09\uff0c\u6bcf\u500b\u5340\u57df\u5305\u542b\u6578\u500b\u570b\u5bb6\u3002\u5404\u5340\u57df\u90fd\u6709\u4e9b\u570b\u5bb6\u5c6c\u65bc\u300c\u6230\u5730\u300d\uff08battleground\uff09\uff0c\u9019\u4e0d\u662f\u8aaa\u90a3\u88e1\u771f\u7684\u90fd\u767c\u751f\u6230\u722d\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u8868\u793a\u9019\u4e9b\u570b\u5bb6\u5728\u6230\u7565\u4e0a\u975e\u5e38\u91cd\u8981\uff0c\u662f\u5fc5\u722d\u4e4b\u5730\u3002\u904a\u6232\u9032\u884c\u4e2d\u96a8\u6642\u53ef\u80fd\u91dd\u5c0d\u7279\u5b9a\u5340\u57df\u8a08\u5206\uff08\u4f9d\u624b\u724c\u800c\u5b9a\uff09\uff0c\u8a72\u5340\u57df\u4e2d\u63a7\u5236\u8f03\u591a\u570b\u5bb6\u8207\u300c\u6230\u5730\u300d\u7684\u73a9\u5bb6\uff0c\u57fa\u672c\u5206\u6578\u6703\u8f03\u9ad8\uff0c\u6b64\u5916\u9084\u6709\u4e00\u4e9b\u984d\u5916\u5206\u6578\u3002<\/p>\n<p align=\"left\">\u60f3\u8981\u63a7\u5236\u67d0\u500b\u570b\u5bb6\uff0c\u5c31\u5fc5\u9808\u6295\u5165\u5f71\u97ff\u9ede\u6578\uff08\u7528\u767d\u8a71\u8aaa\uff0c\u901a\u5e38\u5c31\u662f\u6307\u7838\u9322\uff09\uff0c\u540c\u6642\u4e5f\u53ef\u8a2d\u6cd5\u524a\u6e1b\u6575\u65b9\u9663\u71df\u7684\u5f71\u97ff\u9ede\u6578\uff08\u8207\u8a72\u570b\u5bb6\u7d50\u76df\u6216\u767c\u52d5\u653f\u8b8a\uff09\u3002\u7136\u800c\u524d\u8005\u6709\u500b\u9650\u5236\uff0c\u5c31\u662f\u53ea\u80fd\u91dd\u5c0d\u5927\u672c\u71df\u6216\u5df2\u63a7\u5236\u570b\u5bb6\u9644\u8fd1\u7684\u570b\u5bb6\uff0c\u6295\u5165\u5f71\u97ff\u9ede\u6578\u3002\u5f9e\u9019\u88e1\u53ef\u4ee5\u770b\u51fa\u672c\u904a\u6232\u7684\u57fa\u672c\u9810\u8a2d\u4e4b\u4e00\uff0c\u5c31\u662f\u51b7\u6230\u6642\u671f\u7684\u300c\u9aa8\u724c\u7406\u8ad6\u300d\u3002\u8a2d\u8a08\u8005\u4e5f\u627f\u8a8d\uff0c\u9019\u904a\u6232\u7684\u524d\u63d0\u662f\u63a5\u53d7\u6240\u6709\u95dc\u65bc\u51b7\u6230\u7684\u5167\u90e8\u908f\u8f2f\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u5c07\u5168\u4e16\u754c\u8996\u70ba\u662f\u5169\u5927\u8d85\u7d1a\u5f37\u6b0a\u7684\u68cb\u76e4\uff0c\u5176\u4ed6\u570b\u5bb6\u90fd\u662f\u68cb\u5b50\u3002\u53ea\u662f\u67d0\u4e9b\u68cb\u5b50\u53ef\u80fd\u6bd4\u8f03\u91cd\u8981\u4e00\u9ede\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u5728\u904a\u6232\u4e2d\uff0c\u4e2d\u570b\u88ab\u8a2d\u8a08\u6210\u70ba\u4e00\u5f35\u53ef\u4ee5\u8b93\u96d9\u65b9\u8f2a\u6d41\u4f7f\u7528\u7684\u7279\u6b8a\u724c\uff0c\u5c31\u53eb\u505a\u300c\u4e2d\u570b\u724c\u300d\u3002\u96d6\u7136\u9019\u662f\u5927\u5e45\u7c21\u5316\u751a\u81f3\u662f\u6709\u9ede\u626d\u66f2\u7684\u6b77\u53f2\u8a6e\u91cb\uff0c\u4e0d\u904e\u537b\u53ef\u4ee5\u4f7f\u904a\u6232\u7684\u4e3b\u984c\u66f4\u5c08\u6ce8\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u66f4\u6709\u8da3\u5473\u3002\u4f5c\u70ba\u4e00\u500b\u904a\u6232\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u9019\u662f\u6b63\u78ba\u7684\u8a2d\u8a08\uff0c\u7562\u7adf\u9019\u4e0d\u662f\u6b77\u53f2\u6559\u79d1\u66f8\u3002\u4e0d\u904e\u7576\u7136\uff0c\u9019\u904a\u6232\u9084\u4e0d\u81f4\u5b8c\u5168\u8207\u73fe\u5be6\u812b\u7bc0\uff0c\u51fa\u73fe\u985e\u4f3c\u96fb\u5f71 007 \u60c5\u5831\u54e1\u7684\u73a9\u610f\u5152\u3002<\/p>\n<p align=\"left\">\u500b\u4eba\u73a9\u904e\u7684\u611f\u60f3\u662f\uff0c\u9019\u904a\u6232\u7684\u78ba\u6709\u7d19\u724c\u9a45\u52d5\u7cfb\u7d71\u7684\u512a\u9ede\u3002\u9996\u5148\uff0c\u5b83\u7684\u898f\u5247\u66f8\u4e0d\u539a\uff0c\u9664\u6389\u5c01\u9762\u548c\u6b77\u53f2\u9644\u9304\uff0c\u53ea\u6709\u77ed\u77ed\u516b\u9801\u3002\u9019\u4e3b\u8981\u662f\u56e0\u70ba\u898f\u5247\u5927\u591a\u90fd\u5beb\u5728\u724c\u4e0a\u3002\u73a9\u8d77\u4f86\u6642\u9593\u4e5f\u4e0d\u9577\uff0c\u65b0\u624b\u4e3b\u8981\u662f\u8981\u77ad\u89e3\u6bcf\u5f35\u724c\u7684\u529f\u80fd\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u6bd4\u8f03\u8cbb\u6642\u3002\u6839\u64da\u570b\u5916\u73a9\u5bb6\u7684\u7d93\u9a57\uff0c\u719f\u6089\u4e4b\u5f8c\uff0c\u4e00\u5834\u53ef\u80fd\u53ea\u9700\u8981\u4e00\u500b\u534a\u5c0f\u6642\u5de6\u53f3\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u73a9\u8d77\u4f86\u7684\u78ba\u5e36\u6709\u51b7\u6230\u7684\u98a8\u5473\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u719f\u6089\u6b77\u53f2\u4e8b\u4ef6\u7684\u73a9\u5bb6\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u4ed4\u7d30\u73a9\u5473\u8a2d\u8a08\u8005\u5982\u4f55\u5c07\u5be6\u969b\u6b77\u53f2\u8f49\u6210\u724c\u4e0a\u7684\u7279\u6b8a\u529f\u80fd\u3002<\/p>\n<p align=\"left\">\u5176\u5be6\u9019\u904a\u6232\u4e5f\u4e0d\u5b8c\u5168\u90fd\u5f88\u56b4\u8085\uff0c\u6709\u5e7e\u5f35\u724c\u5e36\u6709\u4e9b\u8af7\u523a\u5473\u9053\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\uff1a&#8221;How I Learn to Stop Worrying&#8221;\u9019\u5f35\u724c\u7684\u540d\u7a31\u5176\u5be6\u662f\u96fb\u5f71\u300c\u5947\u611b\u535a\u58eb\u300d\u7684\u526f\u6a19\uff0c\u96fb\u5f71\u5168\u540d\u662f\uff1a&#8221;Dr. Strangelove: Or How I Learn to Stop Worrying and Love the 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Bond\u3002\u8a2d\u8a08\u8005\u56de\u7b54\u8aaa\uff0c\u5176\u5be6\u4ed6\u66fe\u60f3\u904e\u8a2d\u8a08\u4e00\u5f35\u8d08\u54c1\u724c\uff0c\u6a19\u984c\u53eb\u505a\uff1a&#8221;The Spy Who Loved Me&#8221; \uff0c\u9019\u5f35\u724c\u7684\u529f\u80fd\u662f\uff1a\u300c\u5982\u679c\u5c0d\u624b\u662f\u4f60\u7684\u914d\u5076\u6216\u60c5\u4eba\uff0c\u4f60\u53ef\u4ee5\u7ffb\u770b\u63a5\u4e0b\u4f86\u4e94\u5f35\u724c\uff0c\u4e26\u4e14\u4f7f\u7528\u6b64\u724c\u4e0a\u7684\u5f71\u97ff\u9ede\u6578\u300d\u3002<\/p>\n<p 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